Sunday, February 24, 2013

UPDATED: US Dollar ~ DXY0 ~ Channelized, but where to next? (August 3, 2013)

There has been considerable talk about the US$ and its recent strength.  The dollar is within a BAR (Big-Ass-Range that extends from 76 < > 86 ~ what's next?  There is also a strong sentiment that the US economy is improving, fundamentals are showing that there is sustainable strength < > Really?  My trading style sees price being in the middle of a range and therefore has the potential to go either way, while there is some reasonable and credible evidence for either direction.  Below are a Daily and Weekly Chart for the DXY0 ~ Watching and Learning

UPDATED August 3, 2013:  the channelized price pattern has continued to play out as might be anticipated.  Price remains within the previous range.  Of note, price made a higher low and would suggest strength could be next.  Watching and learning.  Trading On.



UPDATED 16-June-2013:  The daily and weekly charts below continue to tell a familiar story.  The USD remains channelized, though I adjusted the upper bound to more reflect reality.  At its current position, relatively difficult to assign a good probability on a move ~ expressed weakness has been exhibited since late May.




UPDATED:  Price has stalled and oscillated here.  On the daily chart price has broken up and back down numerous times across this trend line - and even gapped up over it on March 18.  Since then price has fallen back to the line and rebounded higher again, only to retreat again.  Possibly a  precursor to a more powerful move.  However, the last price action was decidedly weaker, and while closing above, had penetrated below the last low.  Watching and Learning.



UPDATED: Potential new right shoulder?





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